Reference
Bruce M Hill “A Simple General Approach to Inference About the Tail of a Distribution” (1975) // Annals of Statistics. Vol. 3. No 5. Pp. 1163–1174. DOI: 10.1214/aos/1176343247
Abstract
A simple general approach to inference about the tail behavior of a distribution is proposed. It is not required to assume any global form for the distribution function, but merely the form of behavior in the tail where it is desired to draw inference. Results are particularly simple for distributions of the Zipf type, i.e., where G(y)=1−Cy−αG(y)=1−Cy−αG(y) = 1 - Cy\textasciicircum-\textbackslashalpha\ for large yyy. The methods of inference are based upon an evaluation of the conditional likelihood for the parameters describing the tail behavior, given the values of the extreme order statistics, and can be implemented from both Bayesian and frequentist viewpoints.
Bib
@Article{hill1975,
title = {A Simple General Approach to Inference About the Tail of a Distribution},
volume = {3},
issn = {0090-5364, 2168-8966},
url = {https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.aos/1176343247},
doi = {10.1214/aos/1176343247},
abstract = {A simple general approach to inference about the tail behavior of a distribution is proposed. It is not required to assume any global form for the distribution function, but merely the form of behavior in the tail where it is desired to draw inference. Results are particularly simple for distributions of the Zipf type, i.e., where G(y)=1−Cy−αG(y)=1−Cy−αG(y) = 1 - Cy\textasciicircum\-\textbackslashalpha\ for large yyy. The methods of inference are based upon an evaluation of the conditional likelihood for the parameters describing the tail behavior, given the values of the extreme order statistics, and can be implemented from both Bayesian and frequentist viewpoints.},
language = {EN},
number = {5},
urldate = {2020-06-27},
journal = {Annals of Statistics},
author = {Hill, Bruce M},
month = {sep},
year = {1975},
mrnumber = {MR378204},
zmnumber = {0323.62033},
note = {Publisher: Institute of Mathematical Statistics},
keywords = {Bayesian inference, order statistics, Tail of distribution},
pages = {1163--1174}
}